Explore how imperfect information and externalities can lead to inefficient market outcomes, and learn how policy measures can sometimes mitigate these failures.
Sometimes we think that if everyone just follows their best self-interest, markets will magically supply the right amounts of goods at the right prices to the right people. But real-life markets often stumble when certain assumptions of perfect competition fail to hold (e.g., no externalities, perfect information, many small buyers/sellers). These hiccups may create “market failures.” If you’ve ever been stuck paying for repairs because a used car turned out to be a complete disaster, you’ve tasted the sour side of asymmetric information—where the seller might know way more than you about what’s under the hood.
From a CFA exam perspective, understanding how and why markets fail is critical for analyzing real-world asset prices, financial policies, and portfolio decisions. This section delves into market failures—particularly externalities and asymmetric information—and highlights how government policies aim to address these issues. We’ll also look at potential pitfalls of interventions that can introduce new inefficiencies or “government failures.”
Market failure describes any situation where free markets, left to their own devices, fail to maximize total economic welfare (or total surplus). In an idealized perfectly competitive market, the price system efficiently coordinates buyers and sellers, ensuring resources are allocated to their highest-valued uses. But in reality, there are times when markets misfire and generate outcomes that are not socially optimal.
Several well-known sources of market failure include:
• Externalities (positive or negative)
• Public goods (non-rival and non-excludable)
• Asymmetric information (adverse selection and moral hazard)
• Market power (monopoly, oligopoly)
We’ll keep our focus on two topics especially relevant for this stage of your CFA studies: externalities and asymmetric information.
An externality occurs when a transaction affects a third party who is neither the buyer nor the seller. If you’ve ever enjoyed the sweet smell of your neighbor’s outdoor barbecue (positive externality)—or endured the smoke from a nearby factory’s pollution (negative externality)—you’ve seen externalities in action.
Negative externalities pull the market quantity above the socially efficient level: producers or consumers do not bear the full cost of their decisions, which leads to overproduction or overconsumption. Positive externalities push the market quantity below the socially optimal level: since the full benefit isn’t captured by the private actor, we get underproduction.
One potential way to “fix” a negative externality is a Pigouvian tax—a per-unit tax equal to the external cost. This tax forces producers (or consumers) to internalize the external cost. Analogously, a subsidy can encourage more of a good that has positive spillover benefits.
When done correctly, these tools can shift the private cost or benefit toward the true social cost or benefit, aligning private incentives with overall societal welfare. But taxes or subsidies are not always easy to calibrate. Estimating the exact monetary value of an external cost or benefit can be tricky, and poorly designed taxes might create new inefficiencies.
Asymmetric information surfaces when one party to a transaction (often the seller) has more or better information than the other (often the buyer). In a perfectly competitive market, buyers and sellers have equal and free access to all relevant information. In reality, that rarely happens—especially in insurance markets or markets for experience goods and complex financial services.
Adverse selection refers to the situation where individuals or goods that pose higher risks or are of lower quality are more likely to be selected or offered in a transaction. George Akerlof’s famous 1970 paper “The Market for ‘Lemons’” illustrated how used-car markets can deteriorate if sellers have more information about car quality than buyers.
• Buyers, uncertain of a car’s quality, are only willing to pay an “average” price.
• Sellers with genuinely high-quality cars find this price too low, so they exit the market.
• The market gradually becomes dominated by “lemons,” or poor-quality cars.
The same dynamic can arise in health insurance: people with higher health risks are more likely to seek insurance, but insurers—unable to perfectly observe each applicant’s risk—set premiums that might chase away healthier (low-risk) individuals. This scenario leaves the insurer with mostly high-risk customers, pushing premiums even higher, and possibly leading to market collapse.
Moral hazard happens after the transaction takes place. It occurs when one party changes behavior because someone else bears some or all of the risk. For instance, if a company knows it’s insured for certain losses, it may take on riskier projects or be less cautious, secure in the knowledge that the insurance covers part of the downside.
Another classic example is the relationship between a company’s shareholders (principals) and its management (agents). Once managers are hired and entrusted with shareholder capital, they might spend corporate funds more lavishly or engage in projects that are personally beneficial rather than value-maximizing for shareholders—if there aren’t proper incentives or monitoring mechanisms in place.
Below is a Mermaid diagram showing how asymmetric information can result in either adverse selection or moral hazard. Notice how lack of full disclosure or weak monitoring can distort decisions and lead to suboptimal outcomes.
flowchart LR A["Start: Transaction <br/>(Buyer & Seller)"] B["Seller Knows <br/>Quality or Risk"] C["Buyer <br/>Less Informed"] D["Adverse Selection <br/>(Before Transaction)"] E["Moral Hazard <br/>(After Transaction)"] A --> B A --> C B --> D C --> D B --> E C --> E
• Adverse Selection typically happens before a transaction: sellers with more information can selectively market lower-quality goods or unhealthy applicants selectively enroll in insurance.
• Moral Hazard manifests after a transaction: having insurance or delegated authority may alter a party’s incentive to behave prudently.
To reduce adverse selection, many regulators mandate information disclosures. For instance:
This transparency ensures that potential buyers can better assess the “true” value or risk. The CFA Institute Code of Ethics and Standards of Professional Conduct also reinforce the principle of full disclosure, thereby reducing information gaps.
For moral hazard, oversight mechanisms such as corporate governance practices, independent boards, or performance-based compensation can align managers’ incentives with shareholder interests. In insurance, deductibles and co-payments discourage reckless behavior by making policyholders bear some of the cost.
We often assume government solutions are a neat fix to market failures—but they can lead to “government failures.” Think of poorly designed taxes that distort incentives, or bureaucratic inefficiencies that increase administrative costs. Sometimes regulators lack the necessary information themselves, or face lobbying from powerful interest groups, which may lead to suboptimal policies.
In short, policy interventions can be beneficial, but they’re not always guaranteed to improve welfare. As a CFA candidate and future practitioner, remember that each real-world intervention has trade-offs, and it’s not enough to say, “Tax it!” or “Subsidize it!” We must analyze the costs, benefits, and potential unintended consequences.
• Adverse Selection: Individuals with higher health risks are more inclined to buy comprehensive health insurance. If insurers can’t differentiate high-risk from low-risk individuals, they set a uniform premium that’s higher than what low-risk individuals find worthwhile. Low-risk folks drop out, and eventually, the pool is dominated by high-risk policyholders, driving premiums up further.
• Moral Hazard: Once insured, some people may be less vigilant about health checkups or overall lifestyle choices.
Government Mitigation Strategy: Many countries make health insurance mandatory or impose open-enrollment periods with premium subsidies to ensure a balanced risk pool. Insurers may also adjust deductibles and co-pays to reduce unnecessary claims.
• Adverse Selection: In a sense, shareholders worry that hidden problems in a company remain undisclosed before they buy stock. If disclosures are lacking, “bad” companies might dominate, and “good” companies might avoid listing publicly.
• Moral Hazard: Once managers are ensconced, they might pursue personal perks, inflated salaries, or nepotistic hires. A well-structured board and performance-linked pay can help align managerial decisions with shareholder value.
• Negative Externality: Factories emit pollution affecting local communities. Without regulation or a Pigouvian tax, factories overproduce, ignoring the broader social costs.
• Positive Externality: Firms that invest in research and development might create knowledge that others benefit from. Without subsidies or intellectual property protection, such firms underinvest relative to the societal optimum.
• Always check if there’s more information lurking behind the scenes. Whether you’re valuing a company or assessing an insurance product, ask yourself, “Do I have all relevant data?”
• Watch out for moral hazard. Are you protected so well that you (or a counterparty) might get lazy or take on extra risk?
• Recognize that not all government solutions will deliver the textbook outcome. Implementation details matter, and so do political or institutional constraints.
• In portfolio management, consider how market failures might affect valuations, credit spreads, or regulatory risks. For instance, if lenders suspect moral hazard, they may charge higher interest rates to firms with poor governance, impacting the valuations of those firms’ securities.
Market failure concepts appear in numerous areas, from reading policy discussions to evaluating business risk. On the CFA exam (and particularly in real-world practice), you might see scenario-based questions where a firm’s financial statements are incomplete or biased, or you need to analyze the potential impact of a new environmental regulation on an industry. The goal is to identify when the usual equilibrium models fall short and how to factor in these distortions when making investment decisions.
When tackling item set or constructed-response questions, remember:
• Identify whether the scenario involves externalities, asymmetric information, or both.
• Discuss potential regulatory or private solutions to address those inefficiencies.
• Evaluate possible unintended consequences that might arise from these interventions.
• Know the differences between adverse selection (pre-transaction) and moral hazard (post-transaction).
• Be comfortable distinguishing how negative externalities shift supply curves and how positive externalities shift demand curves (and vice versa).
• Be ready to illustrate how Pigouvian taxes or subsidies aim to align private cost/benefit with social cost/benefit.
• Practice reading carefully. A typical exam question might slip in a detail about incomplete disclosure or hidden risk. Spot it and discuss how it affects market efficiency.
• Keep your responses focused. Highlight the market failure source, discuss how the market outcome deviates from efficiency, propose a plausible solution (e.g., regulation or tax), and measure whether it might help or hurt overall welfare.
• Akerlof, G. A. (1970). “The Market for ‘Lemons’: Quality Uncertainty and the Market Mechanism.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 84(3): 488–500.
• Spence, M. (1973). “Job Market Signaling.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 87(3): 355–374.
• University of California, Berkeley: Lecture Notes on Market Failures.
• CFA Institute. (2025). CFA Program Curriculum, Level I & II (Core frameworks on ethics and quantitative methods).
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